at the moment i think you will need 43 wins in the east for the 8 and final place. I really hope that the hornets will take this place since i would like to see a ming - shaq matchup in the first round
in the west there should be something like 38 wins enough. I believe that the rockets will take this place with their new additions.
overall first round matchup predicitons:
east:
raptors vs. hornets
possible the best matchup in the first round with marion against peja and shaq against ming
nets vs. orlando
pettit against allen could be fun to watch but the inside dominance of the nets make them the favs.
wizards vs. pacers
two of the best pfs will meet in the first round, should be a close race
sixers vs. heat
can the heat stop tim duncan, if not this will be a very short round
west:
mavs vs. houston
even with bibby now in houston this is something the mavs should win, but you never know with the mavs as seen last year
clips vs. kings
t-mac will have a great series but the overall talent of the clips will be too much for the kings
denver vs. grizz
can big ben do his magic again?
if not the nuggets should win this without any problem.
jazz vs minny
can KG win a first round? It will be a very close series imo but KG will have to wait another year.
i know this is a little early ...